Northside Eviction Risk: High , Berkeley

36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $49,286, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. At $1,860 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Berkeley commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.