Hayward Eviction Risk: Elevated

Set annual rent against average income of $109,583 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

At $3,094 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Hayward commands. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Alameda County average of 7.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.