Mulford Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Leandro

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $102,823, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Average gross rent is $2,748, 26% above the San Leandro average. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Alameda County average of 7.8 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.