Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Vinsanto II Eviction Risk: Moderate , Livermore

Tract 06001451703 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,827 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 06001451703 in the Vinsanto II area of Livermore, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,827 residents. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.4 points.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,304

Renter share11.8%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$200,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Livermore and the region

Centroid at 37.6673, -121.8010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinsanto II scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Livermore

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,088 rent vs county FMR

6.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Livermore

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Livermore

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Livermore

5.0

How Vinsanto II compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinsanto II

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $3,088, 15% above the Livermore average. The voucher gap is 15.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 45.5% across Alameda County. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001451703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001451703?

Census tract 06001451703 in the Vinsanto II neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001451703?

Median gross rent is $3,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001451703?

3.0% of residents in tract 06001451703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,827.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001451703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 22th, minority 57th, housing 19th.

Is tract 06001451703 considered part of Vinsanto II?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001451703 fall within Vinsanto II (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001451703 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001451703 compare to Livermore overall?

Tract 06001451703 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Livermore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Livermore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Livermore

Top eight tracts in Livermore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.