Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013304003 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,279
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 06013304003 in Discovery Bay, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,279 residents. Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 14% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$155,556
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Discovery Bay and the region
Centroid at 37.9012, -121.5807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Bay scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,906 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Discovery Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Discovery Bay
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.0
How Discovery Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Bay
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013304003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013304003?
Census tract 06013304003 in Discovery Bay scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013304003?
Median gross rent is $2,906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013304003?
4.1% of residents in tract 06013304003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,279.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013304003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 52th, minority 48th, housing 8th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013304003 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013304003 compare to Discovery Bay overall?
Tract 06013304003 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Discovery Bay at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Discovery Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Discovery Bay
Top eight tracts in Discovery Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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