Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013304007 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,509 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Discovery Bay
Census tract 06013304007 covers part of Discovery Bay, CA, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,509. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$153,684
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Discovery Bay and the region
Centroid at 37.9035, -121.6320 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Bay scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,835 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Discovery Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Discovery Bay
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.0
How Discovery Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Bay
Cost burden runs 63% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,835, close to the Discovery Bay average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $153,684.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013304007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013304007?
Census tract 06013304007 in Discovery Bay scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013304007?
Median gross rent is $2,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013304007?
9.2% of residents in tract 06013304007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,509.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013304007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 64th, housing 3th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013304007 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013304007 compare to Discovery Bay overall?
Tract 06013304007 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Discovery Bay at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Discovery Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Discovery Bay
Top eight tracts in Discovery Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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