Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 06013304007 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,509 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Discovery Bay
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06013304007 (Discovery Bay, California) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,835 a month while the average household earns $153,684 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$153,684
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Discovery Bay and the region
Centroid at 37.9035, -121.6320 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Bay scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,835 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Discovery Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Discovery Bay
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.0
How Discovery Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Bay
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Discovery Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013304007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013304007?
Census tract 06013304007 in Discovery Bay scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013304007?
Median gross rent is $2,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013304007?
9.2% of residents in tract 06013304007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,509.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013304007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 64th, housing 3th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013304007 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013304007 compare to Discovery Bay overall?
Tract 06013304007 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Discovery Bay at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Discovery Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Discovery Bay
Top eight tracts in Discovery Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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