3 census tracts · pop 17,302 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 5.6–5.6
Herndon takes in 3 census tracts of Fresno, CA, population 17,302. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Fresno baseline of 34.1%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $2,293, 61% above the Fresno average of $1,421. The voucher gap is 52.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.8/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.4/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
That places it #4 of 4 neighborhoods in Fresno. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Figarden and Highway City.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $115,874.
With little internal variation, 5.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Herndon vs FresnoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Herndon
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.1%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
17.0%Food insecurity
13.5%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
28.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Herndon
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Herndon?
Herndon scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Herndon compare to Fresno overall?
Herndon scores 1.4 points lower than Fresno overall (7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,293 vs $1,421.
Q3
What is the average rent in Herndon?
Average gross rent in Herndon is $2,293/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Herndon residents are renters?
20% of Herndon households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Fresno). The neighborhood has 17,302 residents.
Q5
Is Herndon a high social-vulnerability area?
Herndon sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Herndon have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Herndon is census tract 06019004218 (score 5.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 5.6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Herndon for landlords?
Herndon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fresno as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Herndon?
Herndon has 17,059 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
