Neighborhood · Fresno, CA

Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 17,302 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.4–5.8

Herndon is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Fresno with 3 census tracts and a population of 17,302 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,293/month sits 61% higher than the Fresno citywide average ($1,421).

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Herndon vs Fresno How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.0% +50%

Fresno: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$2,293 +61%

Fresno: $1,421

Average HH income

$115,874 +73%

Fresno: $66,804

Poverty rate

9.6% -54%

Fresno: 20.9%

Renter share

19.5% -61%

Fresno: 49.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Herndon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.4–5.8

Why Herndon scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

9.6% below poverty line · Range 1.6–2.8 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.0–10.0 across tracts

8.8

Risk score comparison

Herndon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Herndon?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.4 points from 5.4 to 5.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.8 5.7 5.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Herndon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06019004215	5.8	4,342	63%	$2,003
06019004216	5.7	4,620	32%	$1,806
06019004218	5.4	8,340	56%	$2,713

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 56%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Herndon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.1%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
17.0%Food insecurity
13.5%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
28.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Herndon

What is the eviction-risk score for Herndon?

Herndon scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Herndon compare to Fresno overall?

Herndon scores 3.3 points lower than Fresno overall (8.9/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,293 vs $1,421.

What is the average rent in Herndon?

Average gross rent in Herndon is $2,293/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Herndon residents are renters?

20% of Herndon households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Fresno). The neighborhood has 17,302 residents.

Is Herndon a high social-vulnerability area?

Herndon sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Herndon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Herndon is census tract 06019004215 (score 5.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.8, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Herndon for landlords?

Herndon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fresno as a whole (8.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Herndon?

Herndon has 17,059 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Herndon

6.4 Figarden 5 tracts · pop 32,197 6.9 Highway City 3 tracts · pop 14,809 8 Calwa 5 tracts · pop 22,379

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fresno

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Herndon.

6.7 Figarden 5 tracts · pop 32,197 6.8 Highway City 3 tracts · pop 14,809 8 Calwa 5 tracts · pop 22,379

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