Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fresno
Tract 06019004216 ·
Fresno, CA · pop 4,620 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 06019004216 covers part of the Herndon area of Fresno, CA, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 32% here against 49.3% across Fresno County.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 17%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,521
Renter share24.3%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$114,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Herndon
Moderate
Within parent city
10th percentile
#114 of 127 tracts In Fresno
Very Low
Within county
26th percentile
#166 of 225 tracts In Fresno
Low
Within state
16th percentile
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fresno and the region
Centroid at 36.8432, -119.9118 · click any tract to drill in
Why Herndon scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fresno
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fresno
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fresno
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fresno
6.5
How Herndon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.3%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Herndon
At $1,806 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Fresno commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Fresno County average of 6.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06019004216
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06019004216?
Census tract 06019004216 in the Herndon neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06019004216?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06019004216?
9.9% of residents in tract 06019004216 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,620.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06019004216?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 75th, minority 84th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 06019004216 considered part of Herndon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06019004216 fall within Herndon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06019004216 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06019004216 compare to Fresno overall?
Tract 06019004216 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Fresno at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fresno eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fresno
Top eight tracts in Fresno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.