Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fresno

Tract 06019004216 · Fresno, CA · pop 4,620 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in Herndon in Fresno centers on tract 06019004216, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,620 residents. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,806 monthly, set against $114,422 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 17% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,521

Renter share24.3%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate9.9%

Median income$114,422

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fresno and the region

Centroid at 36.8432, -119.9118 · click any tract to drill in

Why Herndon scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.9% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,806 rent vs county FMR

7.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fresno

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fresno

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

How Herndon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Herndon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.3%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Herndon

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fresno eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fresno County average of 6.0 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06019004216

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06019004216?

Census tract 06019004216 in the Herndon neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06019004216?

Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06019004216?

9.9% of residents in tract 06019004216 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,620.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06019004216?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 75th, minority 84th, housing 44th.

Is tract 06019004216 considered part of Herndon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06019004216 fall within Herndon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06019004216 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06019004216 compare to Fresno overall?

Tract 06019004216 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Fresno at 8.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fresno eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fresno

Top eight tracts in Fresno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.