Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fresno

Tract 06019004215 · Fresno, CA · pop 4,342 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06019004215 is a census tract in the Herndon area of Fresno, CA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,342 residents. Average gross rent is $2,003, 41% above the Fresno average.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 11% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,431

Renter share30.7%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$94,199

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fresno and the region

Centroid at 36.8307, -119.8992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Herndon scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,003 rent vs county FMR

8.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fresno

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fresno

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

How Herndon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Herndon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Herndon

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Fresno County average of 49.3%.

The voucher gap is 33.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Against the Fresno County average of 6.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $94,199.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06019004215

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06019004215?

Census tract 06019004215 in the Herndon neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06019004215?

Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06019004215?

6.2% of residents in tract 06019004215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,342.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06019004215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 53th, minority 78th, housing 58th.

Is tract 06019004215 considered part of Herndon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06019004215 fall within Herndon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06019004215 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06019004215 compare to Fresno overall?

Tract 06019004215 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Fresno at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fresno eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fresno

Top eight tracts in Fresno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.