Fresno Eviction Risk: High

SNAP participation runs 43.9% against 15.2% nationally. 98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $19,148, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.3/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Fresno County average of 6.9. Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.