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Census Tract · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002502 · Kern, CA · pop 2,167

In Bakersfield, census tract 06029002502 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $953 a month while the average household earns $43,360 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 92% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 52% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units584
Renter share91.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$43,360

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,838 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,036 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3363, -118.9902 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 002502Bakersfield: 7.77.7Bakersfieldparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 43.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 27.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002502?

Census tract 06029002502 in Bakersfield scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029002502?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002502?

13.8% of residents in tract 06029002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,167.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 78th, minority 94th, housing 59th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029002502 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029002502 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002502 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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