Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002502 · Kern, CA · pop 2,167

Census tract 06029002502 covers part of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,167. Food insecurity runs 57.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 52% Owners 8%

Tract context

Occupied units584

Renter share91.8%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$43,360

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3363, -118.9902 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$953 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

43.4%Housing insecurity
27.3%Utility-shutoff threat
57.6%Food insecurity
60.6%SNAP enrollment
29.7%Transit barriers
34.0%No health insurance
25.4%Frequent mental distress
51.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Housing insecurity runs 43.4% against 14.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Average gross rent is $953, 35% below the Bakersfield average. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Kern County average of 49.2%.

Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $43,360.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002502?

Census tract 06029002502 in Bakersfield scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002502?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002502?

13.8% of residents in tract 06029002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,167.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 78th, minority 94th, housing 59th.

What share of households in tract 06029002502 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002502 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002502 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.