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Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002816 · Kern, CA · pop 6,947

06029002816 is a census tract in Bakersfield, CA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,947 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 16% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,883
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$67,254

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Elevated
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#117 of 236 tracts In Kern
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#5,947 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14,906 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3265, -119.0618 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,512 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0028166.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

SNAP participation runs 27.1% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 24.0% against 14.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,512, close to the Bakersfield average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $67,254.

33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002816

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002816?

Census tract 06029002816 in Bakersfield scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029002816?

Median gross rent is $1,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002816?

20.2% of residents in tract 06029002816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,947.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002816?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 81th, minority 86th, housing 87th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029002816 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029002816 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002816 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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