Bell Gardens Eviction Risk: High

Food insecurity runs 45.1% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 69% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Set annual rent against average income of $48,545 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.