Census Tract · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

El Monte Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06037433903 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 5,146

With a score of 9.5/10, tract 06037433903 in El Monte, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 19% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,463

Renter share55.8%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate27.1%

Median income$53,681

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across El Monte and the region

Centroid at 34.0530, -118.0281 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Monte scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from El Monte

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

27.1% poverty · this tract

6.8

Supply constraint

$1,663 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from El Monte

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from El Monte

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from El Monte

7.9

How El Monte compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
16%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.9%Housing insecurity
12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
38.3%Food insecurity
33.5%SNAP enrollment
17.2%Transit barriers
23.2%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Monte

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Food insecurity runs 38.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $53,681, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 28.9% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037433903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037433903?

Census tract 06037433903 in El Monte scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037433903?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037433903?

27.1% of residents in tract 06037433903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,146.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037433903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 42th, minority 97th, housing 73th.

What share of households in tract 06037433903 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037433903 compare to El Monte overall?

Tract 06037433903 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of El Monte at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Monte; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037433903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Monte

Top eight tracts in El Monte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.