Alisal Eviction Risk: High

Food insecurity affects 43.6% of adults, 25.8 points above the national rate. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 34.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7 to 9.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,676 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Salinas commands. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Salinas, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Natividad and Sunset score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $73,334.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.