Coto de Caza Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.3 points. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $250,000, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.