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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06059032064 · Orange, CA · pop 2,787 · 38% of tract blocks fall in San Juan Capistrano

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 06059032064 in San Juan Capistrano, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,787. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Orange County average of 51.8%.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 30% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share45.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$145,109

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In San Juan Capistrano
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#598 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#8,832 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region

Centroid at 33.5185, -117.5437 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan Capistrano scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,985 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2

How San Juan Capistrano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan Capistrano risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0320646.0San Juan Capistranparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.3 points.

Average gross rent is $2,985, 22% above the San Juan Capistrano average. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $145,109. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032064

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032064?

Census tract 06059032064 in San Juan Capistrano scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032064?

Median gross rent is $2,985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032064?

2.7% of residents in tract 06059032064 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,787.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032064?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 9th, minority 39th, housing 37th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06059032064 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06059032064 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?

Tract 06059032064 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano

Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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