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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

El Niguel Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Laguna Niguel

Tract 06059042337 · Orange, CA · pop 3,338 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

06059042337 is a census tract in the El Niguel Heights area of Laguna Niguel, CA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,338 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 5% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$200,911

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In El Niguel Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Laguna Niguel
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#526 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Laguna Niguel and the region

Centroid at 33.5025, -117.6869 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Niguel Heights scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9

How El Niguel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Niguel Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0423376.9Laguna Niguelparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Niguel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Niguel Heights

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Orange County average of 51.8%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 21% above the Laguna Niguel average. Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042337

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042337?

Census tract 06059042337 in the El Niguel Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059042337?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042337?

2.5% of residents in tract 06059042337 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042337?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 16th, minority 42th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 06059042337 considered part of El Niguel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042337 fall within El Niguel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059042337 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059042337 compare to Laguna Niguel overall?

Tract 06059042337 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Laguna Niguel at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laguna Niguel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Laguna Niguel

Top eight tracts in Laguna Niguel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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