Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
El Niguel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Laguna Niguel
Tract 06059042331 ·
Orange, CA · pop 5,824 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06059042331 in the El Niguel Heights area of Laguna Niguel, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,824 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%Stable renters 15%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,820
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$113,021
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60th percentile
#3 of 6 tracts In El Niguel Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
77th percentile
#4 of 14 tracts In Laguna Niguel
High
Within county
41th percentile
#365 of 613 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
33th percentile
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laguna Niguel and the region
Centroid at 33.5168, -117.6961 · click any tract to drill in
Why El Niguel Heights scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,758 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9
How El Niguel Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
44%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within El Niguel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.6%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in El Niguel Heights
Cost burden runs 68% here against 51.8% across Orange County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,758, close to the Laguna Niguel average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $113,021. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042331
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042331?
Census tract 06059042331 in the El Niguel Heights neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042331?
Median gross rent is $2,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042331?
7.4% of residents in tract 06059042331 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,824.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042331?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 35th, minority 62th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 06059042331 considered part of El Niguel Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042331 fall within El Niguel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059042331 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059042331 compare to Laguna Niguel overall?
Tract 06059042331 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Laguna Niguel at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laguna Niguel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laguna Niguel
Top eight tracts in Laguna Niguel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.