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Neighborhood · Laguna Niguel, CA

El Niguel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 28,261 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 5.6–7.4

El Niguel Heights is a 6-tract neighborhood of Laguna Niguel, CA and houses 28,261 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Laguna Niguel rate of 34.5%.

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 7.4, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10.

Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate. 4.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent runs $2,899, close to the Laguna Niguel average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $137,541. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
6 tracts · population-weighted
El Niguel Heights vs Laguna Niguel How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.3% +78%
Laguna Niguel: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$2,899 0%
Laguna Niguel: $2,903
Average HH income
$137,541 -2%
Laguna Niguel: $140,605
Poverty rate
7.1% +20%
Laguna Niguel: 5.9%
Renter share
32.1% -2%
Laguna Niguel: 32.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across El Niguel Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.6–7.4

Why El Niguel Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
7.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–7.1 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

El Niguel Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

El Niguel Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3El Niguel HeightsNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in El Niguel Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 5.6 to 7.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in El Niguel Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059042329 7.4 3,714 80% $2,949
06059042330 6.5 6,487 65% $2,880
06059042331 6.5 5,824 68% $2,758
06059042317 5.8 3,253 35% $2,933
06059042332 5.7 5,645 46% $2,658
06059042337 5.6 3,338 72% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in El Niguel Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About El Niguel Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for El Niguel Heights?

El Niguel Heights scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does El Niguel Heights compare to Laguna Niguel overall?

El Niguel Heights scores 0.6 points lower than Laguna Niguel overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,899 vs $2,903.
Q3

What is the average rent in El Niguel Heights?

Average gross rent in El Niguel Heights is $2,899/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of El Niguel Heights residents are renters?

32% of El Niguel Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Laguna Niguel). The neighborhood has 28,261 residents.
Q5

Is El Niguel Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

El Niguel Heights sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in El Niguel Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in El Niguel Heights is census tract 06059042329 (score 7.4/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 7.4, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is El Niguel Heights for landlords?

El Niguel Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Laguna Niguel as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of El Niguel Heights?

El Niguel Heights has 27,735 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near El Niguel Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Laguna Niguel

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to El Niguel Heights.

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