Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Grandview Crest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lake Forest
Tract 06059052424 · Orange, CA · pop 5,085 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 06059052424 sits in the Grandview Crest area of Lake Forest, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$108,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6444, -117.6761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grandview Crest scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,489 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2
How Grandview Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grandview Crest
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.9/10.
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Orange County average of 51.8%. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Lake Forest as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.
It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,489, close to the Lake Forest average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $108,681. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052424
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052424?
Census tract 06059052424 in the Grandview Crest neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052424?
Median gross rent is $2,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052424?
11.4% of residents in tract 06059052424 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,085.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052424?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 68th, minority 64th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052424 considered part of Grandview Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052424 fall within Grandview Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052424 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052424 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059052424 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Acacia Knolls
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Upper Greenridge
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Lower Heatherview
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Woodside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Sycamore Creek
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Park Place Ranchwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related