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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Park Place Ranchwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052415 · Orange, CA · pop 4,272 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 06059052415 in the Park Place Ranchwood area of Lake Forest, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,272. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 3% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$170,755

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Park Place Ranchwood
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Lake Forest
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#513 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#7,527 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6397, -117.6945 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Place Ranchwood scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2

How Park Place Ranchwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Place Ranchwood risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0524156.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Place Ranchwood

64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Orange County average of 51.8%. Average gross rent is $3,501, 31% above the Lake Forest average. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.3 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.

Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052415

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052415?

Census tract 06059052415 in the Park Place Ranchwood neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052415?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052415?

7.3% of residents in tract 06059052415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,272.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052415?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 62th, minority 46th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052415 considered part of Park Place Ranchwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052415 fall within Park Place Ranchwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052415 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052415 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052415 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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