Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Casta del Sol Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mission Viejo

Tract 06059032037 · Orange, CA · pop 5,832 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 06059032037 covers part of the Casta del Sol area of Mission Viejo, CA, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units2,492

Renter share17.7%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate6.4%

Median income$108,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission Viejo and the region

Centroid at 33.6195, -117.6377 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casta del Sol scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mission Viejo

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.4% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,875 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mission Viejo

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mission Viejo

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mission Viejo

5.7

How Casta del Sol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Casta del Sol. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.9%Housing insecurity
2.7%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
11.6%Frequent mental distress
33.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casta del Sol

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Orange County average of 51.8%.

It sits 0.9 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,875, close to the Mission Viejo average. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $108,971.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032037

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032037?

Census tract 06059032037 in the Casta del Sol neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059032037?

Median gross rent is $2,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032037?

6.4% of residents in tract 06059032037 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,832.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032037?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 58th, minority 57th, housing 7th.

Is tract 06059032037 considered part of Casta del Sol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032037 fall within Casta del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059032037 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059032037 compare to Mission Viejo overall?

Tract 06059032037 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mission Viejo at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission Viejo

Top eight tracts in Mission Viejo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.