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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Portola Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059032049 · Orange, CA · pop 10,463 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

06059032049 is a census tract in the Portola Hills area of Rancho Santa Margarita, CA. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 10,463. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 13% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units3,275
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$197,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Portola Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Lake Forest
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#563 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#8,206 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6638, -117.6150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Portola Hills scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,634 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.7

How Portola Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Portola Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0320496.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Portola Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Portola Hills

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $197,132, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,634, close to the Rancho Santa Margarita average.

26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032049

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032049?

Census tract 06059032049 in the Portola Hills neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032049?

Median gross rent is $2,634/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032049?

4.2% of residents in tract 06059032049 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,463.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032049?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 44th, minority 57th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032049 considered part of Portola Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032049 fall within Portola Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032049 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032049 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059032049 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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