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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Portola Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 17,103 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.8/10 · range 2.5–3.2

Portola Hills is a diverse neighborhood in Lake Forest with 2 census tracts and a population of 17,103 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,750/month sits 3% higher than the Lake Forest citywide average ($2,672).

Risk score
2.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Portola Hills vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.7% +72%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,750 +3%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$183,407 +40%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
4.4% -47%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
20.8% -30%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Portola Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.5–3.2

Why Portola Hills scores 2.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.9–8.3 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.8 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.9–6.4 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.2 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.1 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Portola Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Portola Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Portola Hills: 2.82.8Portola HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 7.67.6Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Portola Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059052428 3.2 6,640 70% $2,932
06059032049 2.5 10,463 51% $2,634
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 20

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Portola Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Portola Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Portola Hills?

Portola Hills scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Portola Hills compare to Lake Forest overall?

Portola Hills scores 4.8 points lower than Lake Forest overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,750 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Portola Hills?

Average gross rent in Portola Hills is $2,750/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Portola Hills residents are renters?

21% of Portola Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 17,103 residents.
Q5

Is Portola Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Portola Hills sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Portola Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Portola Hills is census tract 06059052428 (score 3.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 3.2, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Portola Hills for landlords?

Portola Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Portola Hills?

Portola Hills has 17,306 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Portola Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Portola Hills.

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