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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Portola Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 17,103 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.4

Portola Hills spans 2 census tracts of Lake Forest, CA, population 17,103. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Lake Forest rate of 34.1%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

4.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Forest, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third.

At 21% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $2,750, close to the Lake Forest average.

With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Portola Hills vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.7% +72%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,750 +3%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$183,407 +40%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
4.4% -47%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
20.8% -30%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Portola Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–5.4

Why Portola Hills scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.9–8.3 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.8 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.9–6.4 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.2 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.1 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Portola Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Portola Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Portola HillsNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Portola Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059052428 5.4 6,640 70% $2,932
06059032049 5.3 10,463 51% $2,634
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 20

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Portola Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Portola Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Portola Hills?

Portola Hills scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Portola Hills compare to Lake Forest overall?

Portola Hills scores 1.3 points lower than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,750 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Portola Hills?

Average gross rent in Portola Hills is $2,750/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Portola Hills residents are renters?

21% of Portola Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 17,103 residents.
Q5

Is Portola Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Portola Hills sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Portola Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Portola Hills is census tract 06059052428 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.4, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Portola Hills for landlords?

Portola Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Portola Hills?

Portola Hills has 17,306 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Portola Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Portola Hills.

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