Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Portola Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest
Tract 06059052428 · Orange, CA · pop 6,640 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
06059052428 is a census tract in the Portola Hills area of Lake Forest, CA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Orange County average of 51.8%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,459
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$161,780
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6798, -117.6332 · click any tract to drill in
Why Portola Hills scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,932 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2
How Portola Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Portola Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Portola Hills
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
At $2,932 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Lake Forest commands. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052428
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052428?
Census tract 06059052428 in the Portola Hills neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052428?
Median gross rent is $2,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052428?
4.9% of residents in tract 06059052428 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,640.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052428?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 17th, minority 65th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052428 considered part of Portola Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052428 fall within Portola Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052428 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052428 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059052428 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Acacia Knolls
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Upper Greenridge
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Grandview Crest
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lower Heatherview
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Woodside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Sycamore Creek
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related