Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Portola Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052428 · Orange, CA · pop 6,640 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Eviction risk in Portola Hills in Lake Forest centers on tract 06059052428, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,640 residents. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,932 monthly, set against $161,780 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 4% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units2,459

Renter share11.9%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate4.9%

Median income$161,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6798, -117.6332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Portola Hills scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Forest

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.9% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,932 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Forest

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.2

How Portola Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Portola Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.1%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Portola Hills

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Forest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052428

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052428?

Census tract 06059052428 in the Portola Hills neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059052428?

Median gross rent is $2,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052428?

4.9% of residents in tract 06059052428 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,640.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052428?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 17th, minority 65th, housing 2th.

Is tract 06059052428 considered part of Portola Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052428 fall within Portola Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059052428 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059052428 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052428 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.