Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Robinson Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rancho Santa Margarita

Tract 06059032051 · Orange, CA · pop 4,348 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 06059032051 in the Robinson Ranch area of Rancho Santa Margarita, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,348. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 17% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,930

Renter share38.9%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate4.1%

Median income$113,016

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho Santa Margarita and the region

Centroid at 33.6485, -117.5884 · click any tract to drill in

Why Robinson Ranch scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rancho Santa Margarita

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,581 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rancho Santa Margarita

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rancho Santa Margarita

5.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rancho Santa Margarita

5.7

How Robinson Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Robinson Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
9.6%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Robinson Ranch

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Orange County average of 51.8%. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,581, close to the Rancho Santa Margarita average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $113,016. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032051

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032051?

Census tract 06059032051 in the Robinson Ranch neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059032051?

Median gross rent is $2,581/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032051?

4.1% of residents in tract 06059032051 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,348.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032051?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 37th, minority 63th, housing 24th.

Is tract 06059032051 considered part of Robinson Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032051 fall within Robinson Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059032051 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059032051 compare to Rancho Santa Margarita overall?

Tract 06059032051 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Rancho Santa Margarita at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rancho Santa Margarita; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rancho Santa Margarita

Top eight tracts in Rancho Santa Margarita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.