Neighborhood · Rancho Santa Margarita, CA

Robinson Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 18,590 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.8/10 · range 2.4–3.4

Robinson Ranch is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Rancho Santa Margarita with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,590 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,670/month sits 2% higher than the Rancho Santa Margarita citywide average ($2,625).

Risk score

2.8

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Robinson Ranch vs Rancho Santa Margarita How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.5% +70%

Rancho Santa Margarita: 34.5%

Average gross rent

$2,670 +2%

Rancho Santa Margarita: $2,625

Average HH income

$146,048 -1%

Rancho Santa Margarita: $146,827

Poverty rate

5.1% +0%

Rancho Santa Margarita: 5.1%

Renter share

24.9% -9%

Rancho Santa Margarita: 27.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Robinson Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 2.4–3.4

Why Robinson Ranch scores 2.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

25% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts

1.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.3 across tracts

4.2

Risk score comparison

Robinson Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Robinson Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 2.4 to 3.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

3.4 2.9 2.8 2.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Robinson Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059032055	3.4	3,554	66%	$2,215
06059032051	2.9	4,348	56%	$2,581
06059032050	2.8	4,788	64%	$2,711
06059032042	2.4	5,900	51%	$2,976

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 23%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 23%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Robinson Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.1%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
6.0%No health insurance
24.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Robinson Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Robinson Ranch?

Robinson Ranch scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Robinson Ranch compare to Rancho Santa Margarita overall?

Robinson Ranch scores 5.0 points lower than Rancho Santa Margarita overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,670 vs $2,625.

What is the average rent in Robinson Ranch?

Average gross rent in Robinson Ranch is $2,670/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Robinson Ranch residents are renters?

25% of Robinson Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Rancho Santa Margarita). The neighborhood has 18,590 residents.

Is Robinson Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Robinson Ranch sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Robinson Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Robinson Ranch is census tract 06059032055 (score 3.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 3.4, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Robinson Ranch for landlords?

Robinson Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rancho Santa Margarita as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Robinson Ranch?

Robinson Ranch has 18,604 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), Hispanic / Latino (22.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Robinson Ranch

2.9 Portola Hills 2 tracts · pop 17,103 2.7 Canyon Crest 3 tracts · pop 14,254 2.7 Casta del Sol 4 tracts · pop 24,077 2.5 Mallorca 3 tracts · pop 8,651 3 Sycamore Creek 2 tracts · pop 7,525 3.1 Las Flores 2 tracts · pop 12,125

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