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Neighborhood · Rancho Santa Margarita, CA

Robinson Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 18,590 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.2–6.7

Robinson Ranch spans 4 census tracts of Rancho Santa Margarita, CA, population 18,590. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Rancho Santa Margarita rate of 34.5%.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.2 to 6.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,670, close to the Rancho Santa Margarita average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $146,048.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Robinson Ranch vs Rancho Santa Margarita How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.5% +70%
Rancho Santa Margarita: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$2,670 +2%
Rancho Santa Margarita: $2,625
Average HH income
$146,048 -1%
Rancho Santa Margarita: $146,827
Poverty rate
5.1% +0%
Rancho Santa Margarita: 5.1%
Renter share
24.9% -9%
Rancho Santa Margarita: 27.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Robinson Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.2–6.7

Why Robinson Ranch scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.3 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Robinson Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Robinson Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Robinson RanchNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Robinson Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 5.2 to 6.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Robinson Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06059032055 6.7 3,554 66% $2,215
06059032051 5.9 4,348 56% $2,581
06059032050 5.7 4,788 64% $2,711
06059032042 5.2 5,900 51% $2,976
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Robinson Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Robinson Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Robinson Ranch?

Robinson Ranch scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Robinson Ranch compare to Rancho Santa Margarita overall?

Robinson Ranch scores 0.8 points lower than Rancho Santa Margarita overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,670 vs $2,625.
Q3

What is the average rent in Robinson Ranch?

Average gross rent in Robinson Ranch is $2,670/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Robinson Ranch residents are renters?

25% of Robinson Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Rancho Santa Margarita). The neighborhood has 18,590 residents.
Q5

Is Robinson Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Robinson Ranch sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Robinson Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Robinson Ranch is census tract 06059032055 (score 6.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Robinson Ranch for landlords?

Robinson Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rancho Santa Margarita as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Robinson Ranch?

Robinson Ranch has 18,604 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), Hispanic / Latino (22.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Robinson Ranch

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