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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Serrano Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Moreno Valley

Tract 06065042402 · Riverside, CA · pop 5,658 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 06065042402 covers Serrano Heights in Moreno Valley, home to 5,658 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,271 monthly, set against $101,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,327
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$101,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Serrano Heights
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 45 tracts In Moreno Valley
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#204 of 518 tracts In Riverside
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#4,499 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Moreno Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.9455, -117.2040 · click any tract to drill in

Why Serrano Heights scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Moreno Valley
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$2,271 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moreno Valley
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moreno Valley
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moreno Valley
7.2

How Serrano Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Serrano Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 042402Moreno Valley: 7.97.9Moreno Valleyparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Serrano Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Serrano Heights

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Moreno Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Riverside County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065042402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065042402?

Census tract 06065042402 in the Serrano Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06065042402?

Median gross rent is $2,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065042402?

15.1% of residents in tract 06065042402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,658.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065042402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 36th, minority 87th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 06065042402 considered part of Serrano Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065042402 fall within Serrano Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06065042402 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06065042402 compare to Moreno Valley overall?

Tract 06065042402 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Moreno Valley at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moreno Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Moreno Valley

Top eight tracts in Moreno Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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