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Neighborhood · Moreno Valley, CA

Serrano Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,053 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 5.5–7.1

Serrano Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Moreno Valley, CA, population 11,053. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.5 to 7.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.4/10.

38% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. That places it #7 of 8 neighborhoods in Moreno Valley. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Summerfield and Belvedere Heights. Average gross rent runs $2,074, close to the Moreno Valley average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $120,835.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Serrano Heights vs Moreno Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.5% +4%
Moreno Valley: 35.9%
Average gross rent
$2,074 -3%
Moreno Valley: $2,135
Average HH income
$120,835 +38%
Moreno Valley: $87,477
Poverty rate
8.9% -25%
Moreno Valley: 11.9%
Renter share
18.0% -51%
Moreno Valley: 36.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Serrano Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.5–7.1

Why Serrano Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–4.8 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Serrano Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Serrano Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Serrano Heights: 6.36.3Serrano HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.96.9Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Serrano Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065042402 7.1 5,658 38% $2,271
06065042403 5.5 5,395 37% $1,867
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Serrano Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Serrano Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Serrano Heights?

Serrano Heights scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Serrano Heights compare to Moreno Valley overall?

Serrano Heights scores 0.6 points lower than Moreno Valley overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,074 vs $2,135.
Q3

What is the average rent in Serrano Heights?

Average gross rent in Serrano Heights is $2,074/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Serrano Heights residents are renters?

18% of Serrano Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Moreno Valley). The neighborhood has 11,053 residents.
Q5

Is Serrano Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Serrano Heights sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Serrano Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Serrano Heights is census tract 06065042402 (score 7.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 7.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Serrano Heights for landlords?

Serrano Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Moreno Valley as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Serrano Heights?

Serrano Heights has 11,440 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Serrano Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Moreno Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Serrano Heights.

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