Prairie Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Folsom

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Sacramento County average of 7.1. The voucher gap is 16.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $2,578, 10% above the Folsom average.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.