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Neighborhood · Folsom, CA

Prairie Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,625 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.3

Prairie Oaks spans 2 census tracts of Folsom, CA, population 7,625. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 28.6% citywide, putting Prairie Oaks 14.8% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity affects 8.2% of adults, 9.6 points below the national rate.

4.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #6 of 10 neighborhoods in Folsom. For a like-for-like read, The Parkway and Empire Ranch score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $2,340, close to the Folsom average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $119,124. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Prairie Oaks vs Folsom How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.4% +52%
Folsom: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$2,340 -1%
Folsom: $2,352
Average HH income
$119,124 -14%
Folsom: $139,263
Poverty rate
5.4% +1%
Folsom: 5.3%
Renter share
37.6% +24%
Folsom: 30.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prairie Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.3

Why Prairie Oaks scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.4 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.2–6.7 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Prairie Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Prairie Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Prairie OaksNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Prairie Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06067008403 5.3 5,686 50% $2,259
06067008505 5.1 1,939 25% $2,578
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Prairie Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Prairie Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Prairie Oaks?

Prairie Oaks scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Prairie Oaks compare to Folsom overall?

Prairie Oaks scores 1.3 points lower than Folsom overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,340 vs $2,352.
Q3

What is the average rent in Prairie Oaks?

Average gross rent in Prairie Oaks is $2,340/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Prairie Oaks residents are renters?

38% of Prairie Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Folsom). The neighborhood has 7,625 residents.
Q5

Is Prairie Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Prairie Oaks sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Prairie Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Prairie Oaks is census tract 06067008403 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.3, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Prairie Oaks for landlords?

Prairie Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Folsom as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Prairie Oaks?

Prairie Oaks has 7,435 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Prairie Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Folsom

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Prairie Oaks.

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