Orangevale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against Sacramento County at 50.2%, 82% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

At $2,642 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Orangevale commands. It sits 2.3 points below the Sacramento County average of 7.1. The voucher gap is 19.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7/10. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $108,542.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.