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Orangevale, California eviction risk overview
Ranked #260 of 1,865 nationally

Orangevale, CA Eviction Risk: HIGH

Sacramento County · Population 35,958

In 2026
Risk score
7.2
HIGH

88th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.6 Now7.2
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.7 1996 · score 2.8 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 2.9 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 2.9 2001 · score 3.0 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.1 2004 · score 3.1 2005 · score 3.2 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.6 2012 · score 4.5 2013 · score 4.6 2014 · score 4.8 2015 · score 4.9 2016 · score 5.3 2017 · score 5.5 2018 · score 5.7 2019 · score 6.0 2020 · score 6.9 2021 · score 6.9 2022 · score 6.9 2023 · score 6.9 2024 · score 6.8 2025 · score 6.0 2026 · score 7.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.6 Regional 6.6 State 6.8 Economic 5.6 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 7.3 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 5.3 Housing 6.1 7.2 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +19.7% (2024)
    6.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.6
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    9.2% poverty · 4.5% unemp.
    5.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,932 average · 24.5% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.0% of income on rent
    7.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    245 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    24.5% renters
    5.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orangevale and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Orangevale compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Sacramento County
Low
#24 of 35 cities
Rank in county, 32nd percentileBottomTop
#24 of 35 cities in Sacramento County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
High
#218 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 86th percentileBottomTop
#218 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Orangevale risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Orangevale: 7.27.2OrangevaleThis cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg in countyState: 7.27.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.2
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.2/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 245d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,932/mo. A contested eviction takes 245 days and costs $14,444-$37,506 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 24.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 35,958 residents, 24.5% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.6 and 6.6 (Dem margin +19.7% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 6.1, rent-control risk 7.3. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.6. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 9.2% poverty, 4.5% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Orangevale sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.6 Sacramento Stockton, CA · 246d · ~$23.2k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.3 Stockton Elk Grove, CA · 245d · ~$24.4k all-in ($100/day) · score 7.2 Elk Grove Roseville, CA · 266d · ~$28.2k all-in ($106/day) · score 6 Roseville Vacaville, CA · 292d · ~$24.6k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.1 Vacaville Arden-Arcade, CA · 279d · ~$26.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 8 Arden-Arcade Citrus Heights, CA · 276d · ~$25.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 7.5 Citrus Heights Folsom, CA · 257d · ~$25.6k all-in ($100/day) · score 6.4 Folsom Rancho Cordova, CA · 271d · ~$25.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 7.9 Rancho Cordova Carmichael, CA · 263d · ~$27.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 8 Carmichael Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Orangevale
Orangevale · 245d · ~$26.0k all-in ($106/day) · score 7.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Orangevale, CA

Landlording in Orangevale, California, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.2/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Orangevale is a city of 35,958 residents where 24.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,932/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Orangevale eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Orangevale closes 245 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Orangevale's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Orangevale runs $14,444 to $37,506 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 245 days of typical timeline and $1,932/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.3/10 in Orangevale, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Orangevale: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $37,506 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Orangevale

Trap · 7.3/10
The 6/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Orangevale's rent-control-risk sub-score is 7.3/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Orangevale if I want to move a family member into the property?

Yes, California's just-cause eviction laws (AB 1482) do allow for "owner move-in" evictions. However, there are strict rules. You or your close family member must intend to move in within 90 days and reside there for at least 12 continuous months. You may also be required to pay relocation assistance to the tenant. Consult an attorney before proceeding with an owner move-in eviction, as improper execution can lead to significant legal trouble.
Q2

What if my Orangevale tenant stops paying rent due to financial hardship?

Financial hardship doesn't exempt a tenant from paying rent. While you might feel sympathetic, you still need to follow the legal process. You can offer payment plans or connect them with local rental assistance programs, but if they don't pay, you must serve the 3-day pay-or-quit notice to initiate the eviction process. Be consistent with all tenants.
Q3

Are there any specific tenant protections in Orangevale beyond state law?

While Orangevale doesn't have its own specific local rent control or eviction ordinances that supersede state law, it falls under Sacramento County. Sacramento County does have some additional California tenant protections, so it's always wise to check for any county-specific rules that might apply to your property in addition to statewide AB 1482.
Q4

Can I raise the rent on my Orangevale property?

Yes, but under California's statewide rent control law (AB 1482), most properties are limited to annual rent increases of 5% plus the local Consumer Price Index (CPI), capped at 10% total. There are exemptions for certain newer properties (built within the last 15 years) or single-family homes not owned by corporations. Always provide proper written notice for any rent increase (30 days for increases less than 10%, 60 days for 10% or more).
Q5

How do I deal with a tenant who refuses to move out after the eviction process is complete?

Once you have a judgment for possession from the court, you must then obtain a Writ of Possession. This writ is given to the Sacramento County Sheriff's Department, who will then serve a 5-day notice to vacate. If the tenant still doesn't leave, the sheriff will physically remove them. You cannot remove the tenant yourself; only the sheriff can execute the lockout.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.2/10 places Orangevale in the 88th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.