Lifestyle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fontana

Food insecurity runs 40.6% against 17.8% nationally. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $58,382, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.9/10.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8/10. Cost burden runs 61% here against 53.3% across San Bernardino County. Against the San Bernardino County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. At $1,601 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Fontana commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.