Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Encanto Eviction Risk: High , Lemon Grove

Tract 06073014102 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,775 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 06073014102 covers part of the Encanto area of San Diego, CA, and scores 8.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,775 residents. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,058

Renter share21.9%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$103,617

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lemon Grove and the region

Centroid at 32.7163, -117.0382 · click any tract to drill in

Why Encanto scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lemon Grove

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$2,156 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lemon Grove

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lemon Grove

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lemon Grove

7.5

How Encanto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
45%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Encanto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.9%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.9%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Encanto

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,156, close to the San Diego average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $103,617.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073014102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073014102?

Census tract 06073014102 in the Encanto neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073014102?

Median gross rent is $2,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073014102?

11.2% of residents in tract 06073014102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,775.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073014102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 66th, minority 91th, housing 55th.

Is tract 06073014102 considered part of Encanto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073014102 fall within Encanto (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073014102 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073014102 compare to Lemon Grove overall?

Tract 06073014102 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lemon Grove at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemon Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073014102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lemon Grove

Top eight tracts in Lemon Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.