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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Hillsdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Cajon

Tract 06073015405 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,584 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06073015405 covers part of the Hillsdale area of Rancho San Diego, CA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,770
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$137,048

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Hillsdale
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In El Cajon
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#702 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#8,206 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.7752, -116.9179 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hillsdale scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,760 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
6.3

How Hillsdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hillsdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 015405El Cajon: 7.97.9El Cajonparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hillsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hillsdale

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.3 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. At $1,760 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Rancho San Diego commands. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10.

Against average income of $137,048, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073015405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015405?

Census tract 06073015405 in the Hillsdale neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073015405?

Median gross rent is $1,760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015405?

3.3% of residents in tract 06073015405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,584.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 36th, minority 46th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 06073015405 considered part of Hillsdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015405 fall within Hillsdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073015405 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073015405 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073015405 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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