Anza Vista Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Cost burden runs 28% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $211,641, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.