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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075011102 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06075011102 in the Polk Gulch area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,218 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 52% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,312
Renter share92.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$101,976

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Polk Gulch
Elevated
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7898, -122.4189 · click any tract to drill in

Why Polk Gulch scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,145 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Polk Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Polk Gulch risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0111029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Polk Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Polk Gulch

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

Average gross rent is $2,145, 13% below the San Francisco average. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $101,976.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075011102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075011102?

Census tract 06075011102 in the Polk Gulch neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075011102?

Median gross rent is $2,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075011102?

10.0% of residents in tract 06075011102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075011102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 27th, minority 72th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 06075011102 considered part of Polk Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075011102 fall within Polk Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075011102 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075011102 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075011102 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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