Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026404 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,507 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06075026404 sits in the Bayshore area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 2,507 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 27% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units694

Renter share44.7%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate7.7%

Median income$83,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7097, -122.4153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.7% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,747 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
99%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
22.5%Food insecurity
16.8%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
29.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Average gross rent is $1,747, 29% below the San Francisco average. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $83,500. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026404?

Census tract 06075026404 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026404?

Median gross rent is $1,747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026404?

7.7% of residents in tract 06075026404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,507.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 45th, minority 97th, housing 51th.

Is tract 06075026404 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026404 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026404 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026404 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026404 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026404 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.