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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Bayshore Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 5,868 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Bayshore takes in 2 census tracts of San Francisco, CA, population 5,868. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.9/10, in the High tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the San Francisco rate of 25.1%.

At $1,116 a month, rents sit 55% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity affects 29.2% of adults, 11.4 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 25.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of San Francisco, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Little Saigon and Hayes Valley score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $60,044.

60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bayshore vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.5% +69%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$1,116 -55%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$60,044 -58%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
16.9% +60%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
60.3% -2%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayshore and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Bayshore scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
16.9% below poverty line · Range 1.9–5.9 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Bayshore vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayshore score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9BayshoreNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bayshore

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075060502 9.9 3,361 45% $646
06075026404 9.9 2,507 39% $1,747
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayshore

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayshore

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayshore?

Bayshore scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayshore compare to San Francisco overall?

Bayshore scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,116 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayshore?

Average gross rent in Bayshore is $1,116/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayshore residents are renters?

60% of Bayshore households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 5,868 residents.
Q5

Is Bayshore a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayshore sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bayshore have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bayshore is census tract 06075060502 (score 9.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Bayshore for landlords?

Bayshore carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayshore?

Bayshore has 5,491 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (44.7%), Hispanic / Latino (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayshore

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bayshore.

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