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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075060502 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,361 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

06075060502 is a census tract in the Bayshore area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units925
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$42,548

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bayshore
Very Low
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7113, -122.4206 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$646 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0605029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

Average gross rent is $646, 74% below the San Francisco average. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 45% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 25.6% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075060502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075060502?

Census tract 06075060502 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075060502?

Median gross rent is $646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075060502?

23.8% of residents in tract 06075060502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075060502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 96th, minority 95th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 06075060502 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075060502 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075060502 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075060502 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075060502 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075060502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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