Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Heights Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075032802 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,454 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06075032802 covers part of the Golden Gate Heights area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 19% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,528

Renter share32.5%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$113,092

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7531, -122.4812 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate Heights scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,019 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Golden Gate Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
100%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Golden Gate Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.9%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
23.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate Heights

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,019, 18% below the San Francisco average. Cost burden runs 42% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.

SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $113,092. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075032802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075032802?

Census tract 06075032802 in the Golden Gate Heights neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075032802?

Median gross rent is $2,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075032802?

10.5% of residents in tract 06075032802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,454.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075032802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 70th, minority 81th, housing 42th.

Is tract 06075032802 considered part of Golden Gate Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075032802 fall within Golden Gate Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075032802 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075032802 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075032802 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075032802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.