Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Hayes Valley Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075016102 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,618 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

06075016102 is a census tract in the Hayes Valley area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,618 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 56% Owners 2%

Tract context

Occupied units1,212

Renter share98.1%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate35.4%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7802, -122.4270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hayes Valley scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

35.4% poverty · this tract

8.9

Supply constraint

$1,147 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Hayes Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
76%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hayes Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.1%Housing insecurity
14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
35.1%Food insecurity
36.7%SNAP enrollment
16.6%Transit barriers
12.4%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
43.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hayes Valley

Average gross rent is $1,147, 54% below the San Francisco average. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

SNAP participation runs 36.7% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 43% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075016102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075016102?

Census tract 06075016102 in the Hayes Valley neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075016102?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075016102?

35.4% of residents in tract 06075016102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,618.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075016102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 86th, minority 90th, housing 93th.

Is tract 06075016102 considered part of Hayes Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075016102 fall within Hayes Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075016102 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075016102 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075016102 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075016102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 76% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.