Jordan Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. At $2,891 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.