Duboce Triangle Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Average gross rent is $1,405, 43% below the San Francisco average. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $108,095, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.