San Francisco Eviction Risk: High

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Cost burden runs about half here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation runs 32.0% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $91,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 30.7% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.