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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075011101 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,502 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 06075011101 sits in the Polk Gulch area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 2,502 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 58% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share89.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$112,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Polk Gulch
High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very High
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#96 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7917, -122.4193 · click any tract to drill in

Why Polk Gulch scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,039 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Polk Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Polk Gulch risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0111019.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Polk Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Polk Gulch

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $2,039, 18% below the San Francisco average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in three of renters.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $112,418.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075011101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075011101?

Census tract 06075011101 in the Polk Gulch neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075011101?

Median gross rent is $2,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075011101?

10.7% of residents in tract 06075011101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075011101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 21th, minority 72th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 06075011101 considered part of Polk Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075011101 fall within Polk Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075011101 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075011101 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075011101 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075011101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 60% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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