Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Parkmerced Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075033204 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,620 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 06075033204 sits in the Parkmerced area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 3,620 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 48% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,634
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$71,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Parkmerced
Low
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7197, -122.4804 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parkmerced scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$2,122 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Parkmerced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Parkmerced risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0332049.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Parkmerced. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Parkmerced

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs about half here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $71,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $2,122 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075033204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075033204?

Census tract 06075033204 in the Parkmerced neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075033204?

Median gross rent is $2,122/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075033204?

30.5% of residents in tract 06075033204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,620.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075033204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 64th, minority 82th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 06075033204 considered part of Parkmerced?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075033204 fall within Parkmerced (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075033204 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075033204 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075033204 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related