Census Tract · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077005136 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,348

06077005136 is a census tract in Manteca, CA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,348. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 4% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units910

Renter share12.9%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$122,926

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7867, -121.2433 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manteca

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$2,858 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manteca

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manteca

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manteca

6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
20.2%Food insecurity
17.5%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
33.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

Against San Joaquin County at 47.9%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 64.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,858, 38% above the Manteca average. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005136

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005136?

Census tract 06077005136 in Manteca scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005136?

Median gross rent is $2,858/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005136?

19.1% of residents in tract 06077005136 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,348.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005136?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 19th, minority 78th, housing 12th.

What share of households in tract 06077005136 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005136 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005136 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.